Paul Ryan will not seek re-election to Congress

Paul Ryan is no Margaret Chase Smith

Speaker Ryan: 'Completely unnecessary' for Congress to shield special counsel

"The rumor mill is that Paul Ryan is getting ready to resign in the next 30 to 60 days and that Steve Scalise will be the new speaker", Rep. Mark Amodei, R-Nev., told Nevada Newsmakers on March 26, noting that he's sharing the current buzz on Capitol Hill.

Ryan's image among Americans suffered significantly in 2017: Gallup's most recent poll on Americans' opinions of Ryan took place in April 2017, after Republicans in Congress - under Ryan's leadership - failed to enact legislation that would fulfill Trump's promise to "repeal and replace" the ACA. "Now he will have more time to spend with his family and contemplate his legacy, the $1.5 trillion in debt he's left with our children".

King tried to get Ryan to throw the president under the bus, asking him if "Trump fatigue" played a role in his decision to not run for reelection.

Ryan-his party's Vice Presidential candidate in 2012- may foster ambitions to move into the Oval Office in his own right.

Ryan's relationship with the president has been fraught from the start.

With the House, Senate and White House not always in agreement, Ryan seems to have been successful in finding middle ground. Last August he told a CNN forum that the president "messed up" his original response to the racist violence in Charlottesville. Trump might well decide that, rather than prolong the agony, he will call it quits after one term and return to his "truly classy" lair at Trump Tower-so much nicer than the "stupid" White House.

Ryan can and will point to his signal achievement: the big tax-cut bill. McCarthy's 2015 bidding to become speaker neglected part as he didn't possess the votes from your house independence Caucus, the chamber's about conservative wing.

The Freedom Caucus chair has sworn that he has no interest in a leadership position, but so did Paul Ryan during the last go-round, before McCarthy's unexpected withdrawal plunged the race into turmoil. Ryan was once viewed as the future of the party, and he now is a rudder for a party regularly tossed about by Trump's shifting impulses.

Actually, "very, very popular" is something of an exaggeration.

Ryan, a Wisconsin Republican, also dismissed the argument that his remaining speaker's ending will hurt get together initiatives to keep its property majority as "only inner D.C. gossip".

Ryan's allies insist the party's top fundraiser and champion of a crisp GOP message remains in full force. But they are a distinct minority.

"If we do see those more moderate members going to the exits, who fills their space?" And Donald Trump was victorious by double-digit margins.

Also in December, Politico cited several unnamed sources who claimed Ryan has clearly stated that he "would like to serve through Election Day 2018 and retire ahead of the next Congress". It's more about certainty and stability.

Ryan is among the approximately 40 House Republican declining to seek re-election - about twice the number of Democrats leaving. Democrats need a net gain of 23 seats to recapture a majority. "From the bottom of my heart, I want to thank Paul for everything he has done for Wisconsin and the Republican Party". But McConnell is even more unpopular than Ryan. Some four dozen House Republicans - including powerful committee chairmen - are calling it quits.

It's the reverse situation when looking at Republicans who have chose to leave Congress without an announced next step in their political career. His books include "Democracy for Realists: Why Elections Do Not Produce Responsive Government" (with Christopher H. Achen) and "Unequal Democracy: The Political Economy of the New Gilded Age", 2nd edition.

Larry M. Bartels is a political scientist at Vanderbilt University.

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