Only three players can win this week's European Tour's Race to Dubai

England's Tommy Fleetwood is going well in Sun City
Getty Images

England's Tommy Fleetwood is going well in Sun City Credit Getty Images

Making up the top 10 in the standings at the moment are; Tommy Fleetwood, Justin Rose, Sergio Garcia, Jon Rahm, Tyrrell Hatton, Ross Fisher, Rafa Cabrera Bello, Alex Noren, Branden Grace and Francesco Molinari.

Rose trails Fleetwood by 256,737 points and needs to finish top five to have any chance of overtaking him.

Granted, Garcia is still a long shot, but he does still have a legitimate shot.

Rose won the order of merit in 2007 at the final event - overtaking Ernie Els in a play-off at the Volvo Masters. However, Fleetwood would also have to finish outside of the top 20 and Rose outside of solo fourth. Considering the limited field, a bit unlikely, which is why the Euro Tour's forecast model gives Garcia just a three percent chance at victory.

However Garcia thinks he's been overestimated.

"I'm not going to change the way I go out there", Garcia told a pre-tournament press conference. "I can't control what the other people do and obviously both Tommy and Justin are playing really well".

"I'm not expecting them to finish 40th or 50th".

While the PGA Tour Champions is catching flak for its playoff system, one that enabled Kevin Sutherland's sole victory to defeat Bernhard Langer's marvelous seven-win campaign, there won't be any controversy involved with the European Tour's Race to Dubai coronation this week. I can live with it.

Race to Dubai leader Tommy Fleetwood will make his Hero Challenge debut at the event, and so far it has been confirmed he will be joined by World No.5 Jon Rahm, Alex Noren and Francesco Molinari. "But like I said earlier, even if it doesn't happen, it doesn't mean that my year is not going to be as good as it's been".

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